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Boeing’s Q2 Loss: Analysts Remain Bullish, Citing Strong Delivery Momentum

Boeing Co.’s recent second-quarter results presented a complex financial picture, revealing a wider-than-anticipated loss even as the aerospace behemoth reported robust revenue. This mixed performance, however, has not deterred Wall Street analysts, who largely maintain a bullish outlook, citing significant progress in key operational areas.

The company’s revenue surged to $22.75 billion, impressively surpassing analyst expectations, primarily fueled by a remarkable 63% increase in commercial aircraft deliveries. Despite this revenue strength, Boeing posted an adjusted loss of $1.24 per share, which was wider than the forecast, partly attributable to a $445 million charge linked to a Department of Justice settlement. This financial nuance highlights the ongoing efforts to stabilize operations amidst persistent industry challenges.

Despite the earnings per share miss, the investment community remains optimistic, underscoring solid delivery momentum as a critical driver. An expanding order backlog, reaching an impressive $619 billion, including over 5,900 aircraft orders valued at $522 billion, further reinforces confidence in Boeing’s long-term prospects. Additionally, improving free cash flow, which registered an outflow of $200 million—beating consensus estimates by over $1 billion—is seen as a strong indicator of operational efficiency gains.

Goldman Sachs analyst Noah Poponak, a notable voice in the sector, reiterated a ‘Buy’ rating for Boeing stock, modestly elevating his price forecast. His revised target of $260, up from $257, is based on stronger-than-expected commercial deliveries and the robust free cash flow performance. Poponak views these second-quarter results as a broad beat, crediting improved Commercial Aircraft deliveries, stabilized Defense margins, and solid Services segment performance.

Similarly, Bank of America Securities analyst Ronald J. Epstein maintained his ‘Buy’ rating, reaffirming a $260 price forecast for the aircraft manufacturer. Epstein’s assessment is buoyed by robust jet demand and clear signs of improving execution, particularly noting the significant free cash flow beat despite the EPS miss. He emphasizes that the positive cash flow signals better inventory management and working capital gains, crucial for sustainable growth.

Boeing’s commercial airplane revenue alone soared 81% year-over-year to $10.87 billion, delivering 150 commercial jets during the quarter. Production rates for the popular 737 program held steady at 38 units per month, while the wide-body 787 ramped up to 7 per month, reflecting strategic adjustments to meet rising demand. These figures collectively paint a picture of an aerospace giant making tangible strides in its recovery journey.

Looking ahead, Boeing has expressed a clear focus on restoring trust, stabilizing operations, and rigorously executing production targets within a dynamic global environment. The company has reaffirmed its intention to increase 737 output later this year and continues to prioritize advancements in safety, quality, and its long-term recovery trajectory. This strategic clarity aims to reassure investors and stakeholders about its commitment to operational excellence.

The positive sentiment extends across the analyst community. Ken Herbert reiterated an ‘Outperform’ rating with a $250 price forecast, while Gavin Parsons lifted his target from $255 to $280, maintaining a ‘Buy’ rating. Seth Seifman reaffirmed an ‘Overweight’ rating, increasing his forecast from $230 to $251. Charles Minervino and David Strauss also maintained ‘Positive’ and ‘Overweight’ stances, respectively, raising their price forecasts, collectively reinforcing a strong bullish consensus on Boeing’s future.

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