Germany has historically championed Israel and its Jewish community, a commitment deeply rooted in its post-Holocaust reckoning, yet this foundational relationship now faces unprecedented global and domestic challenges. This unwavering stance, famously articulated as “Staatsraison” by former Chancellor Angela Merkel, declaring Israel’s security a fundamental German national interest, was notably reaffirmed by Chancellor Olaf Scholz following the 2023 Hamas massacre.

However, a confluence of current world events and shifting political tides threatens to redefine Germany’s historic bonds with its Jewish community, Israel, and the United States. Recent observations from leadership exchange programs highlight a palpable sense of unease within the German Jewish population, prompting many to contemplate emigration amidst a disturbing surge in antisemitism.

The alarming increase in antisemitic incidents across Germany, documented by RIAS, has seen a staggering 77% rise in 2024, stemming from various ideological spectrums including the political right, the left, and elements within the burgeoning immigrant community. While the conflict in Gaza has undoubtedly exacerbated this trend, the escalation of antisemitism predates it, also fueled by the rise of right-wing populism exemplified by the AfD party.

Tragically, the daily reality for Germany’s Jews has begun to mirror the experiences of their counterparts in France, marked by heightened physical violence, verbal threats, and a noticeable erosion of domestic public political support. This grim reality underscores a significant deterioration in the sense of security and belonging for a community striving to thrive after enduring unimaginable historical trauma.

While Germany’s political, military, and civil leadership steadfastly upholds the nation’s special relationship with its Jewish citizens and with Israel, a growing divergence in sentiment is observable among the average German populace. Younger generations, in particular, appear more inclined to question this historical alliance, a shift influenced by visuals from Gaza, changing German demographics, and the increasing temporal distance from the Holocaust.

Simultaneously, Germany is navigating profound disruptions within Europe and the transatlantic partnership, compelling it to reassess its international role. Challenges such as European migration flows and discussions surrounding potential changes in the NATO alliance, coupled with economic pressures, are pushing Germany to assert greater leadership within the European Union, leveraging its significant economic power.

As Germany grapples with its evolving national identity, it becomes increasingly imperative for its leaders to emphatically recommit to the principle of Staatsraison and to consistently convey the vital importance of safeguarding its Jewish community. Chancellor Friedrich Merz shows early indications of steering Germany towards a more assertive international role, despite facing internal hurdles from the far-right, persistent migration difficulties, and a stagnant economy.

The opportunity for Germany to fill a leadership void in the Western world comes with an undeniable continuing obligation: to acknowledge its dark past and vigorously combat contemporary threats to its Jewish population. Fulfilling this duty demands unequivocal, loud, and persistent messaging from the German government, reinforcing its foundational values in these uncertain times.