Roth Capital Forecasts National Vision’s Q2 Earnings Amidst Market Swings

Stock analysts at Roth Capital have released their much-anticipated Q2 2025 earnings estimates for National Vision Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:EYE), offering a glimpse into the potential financial performance of the optical retail giant. This detailed research note, issued on Wednesday, July 30th, provides investors and market watchers with critical projections that could influence investment decisions surrounding the National Vision stock.

Specifically, Roth Capital analyst M. Koranda anticipates National Vision will achieve earnings of $0.07 per share for the upcoming quarter. Beyond Q2, Roth Capital has also furnished comprehensive earnings per share estimates for subsequent periods, including Q3 2025 at $0.05, Q4 2025 at $0.04, and a full-year 2025 projection of $0.40. Looking further ahead, their forecasts extend to FY2026 at $0.58 EPS and FY2027 at $0.86 EPS, underscoring a long-term outlook for the company’s profitability. The firm currently maintains a “Buy” rating on the stock, accompanied by a $36.00 target price, reflecting their confidence in the company’s future trajectory.

These forward-looking estimates build upon National Vision’s recent financial disclosures. The company previously reported its quarterly earnings on Wednesday, May 7th, where it announced earnings of $0.34 per share, successfully surpassing the consensus estimate of $0.32 by a margin of $0.02. Despite a negative net margin of 1.40%, the firm demonstrated a positive return on equity of 3.44% and generated robust revenue of $510.32 million, slightly exceeding analyst expectations of $510.30 million, showcasing a 5.7% year-over-year revenue increase.

From a market perspective, National Vision’s stock opened at $24.21 on a recent Friday, navigating a twelve-month range from a low of $9.56 to a high of $25.67. The company’s financial health is further detailed by its liquidity and leverage ratios, including a quick ratio of 0.35, a current ratio of 0.54, and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.29. With a market capitalization of $1.91 billion, a P/E ratio of -73.36, and a PEG ratio of 3.44, the stock’s metrics offer a comprehensive view for potential investors. Its beta of 1.27 indicates a higher volatility compared to the overall market, while its 50-day moving average price of $23.05 and two-hundred day moving average price of $16.36 provide insights into recent price trends for National Vision Holdings.

Institutional investors have actively adjusted their positions in National Vision shares, signaling shifting sentiments and strategic alignments. Notable moves include Teacher Retirement System of Texas increasing its holdings by 84.5% to 21,240 shares, and new positions being initiated by Y Intercept Hong Kong Ltd and Oppenheimer Asset Management Inc. Linden Thomas Advisory Services LLC also significantly raised its stake by 45.1%, now owning 47,343 shares, while William Blair Investment Management LLC made a substantial new investment valued at $81.908 million, highlighting growing institutional interest in EYE stock.

In other developments, a senior vice president recently executed a notable insider sale, offloading 12,000 shares of the firm’s stock on Tuesday, May 13th, at an average price of $18.75, totaling $225,000.00. This transaction reduced the SVP’s holdings by over 50%, leaving them with 11,700 shares. Such insider activities are closely watched by market participants as they can sometimes provide signals about internal perspectives on a company’s future prospects, particularly regarding its financial outlook.

National Vision Holdings, Inc. itself operates as a prominent optical retailer across the United States, managing various segments including Owned & Host and Legacy. The company’s business model encompasses offering eyeglasses, contact lenses, and optical accessory products, alongside providing essential eye exams through its well-known brands such as America’s Best, Eyeglass World, and Vista Optical. They also cater to health maintenance organizations and offer comprehensive optometric services, solidifying their position in the vision care market.

The convergence of analyst predictions, recent financial performance, and market dynamics paints a complex yet intriguing picture for National Vision Holdings as it approaches its Q2 earnings report. Investors will be keenly observing how these factors align and what implications they hold for the company’s stock market predictions and overall trajectory in the competitive optical retail sector.

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